Guidance from an Expert Practitioner

Parala’s AlphaPredictor® is a forward-looking asset allocation framework. It uses current global economic conditions to forecast asset class returns. The framework provides a ranking of assets classes based on the returns each asset class is expected to deliver: with +5 delivering the highest returns of all asset classes, down through -5, where the asset class is expected to deliver the lowest returns. The model uses a traditional multi-asset universe covering Equities, Bonds and a range of alternative markets. The output from the tool is implemented monthly through our PC Macro Multi-Asset Fund Range which offers investors a traditional risk-rated multi-asset solution.


Asset Class 1-Month Expected Return Scaled
Ranking (-5 to +5)
6-Month Expected Return Scaled
Ranking (-5 to +5)
12-Month Expected Return Scaled
Ranking (-5 to +5)
US Government Long + 5 + 5 + 5
USD Treasuries 1-3Y + 5 + 5 + 4
World Inflation Linked Bonds + 4 + 4 + 5
Global Treasuries + 4 + 4 + 4
US Treasury Bills + 4 + 4 + 3
Global Total Return Bonds + 3 + 3 + 4
Gold + 3 + 3 + 3
Global Infrastructure + 2 + 2 + 2
UK Equity* + 2 + 1 + 1
Global Corporate Bonds + 2 + 2 + 2
EM Local Currency Government Bonds + 2 + 2 + 2
Industrial Metals + 1 - 1 - 1
Global Water + 1 + 2 + 2
USA Equity 0 - 0 - 0 -
Emerging Mkt Bond 0 - + 1 + 1
Global Equities - 1 - 2 - 2
Eurozone Equity* - 1 - 1 - 1
Global High Yield Bonds - 2 0 - 0 -
Global REITs - 3 - 3 - 3
Global Clean Energy - 3 - 2 - 3
Japan Equity* - 4 - 4 - 4
Emerging Market Equities - 5 - 5 - 5

*Forecasts for Eurozone, UK and Japan equities calculated in local currency


Disclaimer:The model uses current economic data and will consistently update as the economic data changes. The above is a snapshot of the models data as of end of April 2022. The information shown is for illustrative purposes only and is no guarantee of future returns.


Information is based on our current understanding of taxation legislation and regulations. Any levels and bases of, and reliefs from, taxation are subject to change. Tax treatment is based on individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future. Although endeavours have been made to provide accurate and timely information, we cannot guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No individual or company should act upon such information without receiving appropriate professional advice after a thorough review of their particular situation. We cannot accept responsibility for any loss as a result of acts or omissions.

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